Skip to content

FhPlexForecaster

FhPlexForecaster

class FhPlexForecaster(forecaster, fh_params=None, fh_lookup='relative', fh_contiguous=False)[source]

Uses different parameters by forecasting horizon element.

When provided with forecasting horizon [f1, f2, …, fn], will fit forecaster with fh=f1 and parameters fh_params[f1] to forecast f1, forecaster with fh=f2 and parameters fh_params[f2] to forecast f2, etc.

To use different estimators per horizon, combine FhPlexForecaster with one of MultiplexForecaster and MultiplexTransformer.

Parameters:
forecastersktime compatible forecaster
fh_paramsdict, list, callable, or str that eval-defines a callable

specifies forecaster to use per fh element

  • dict: keys = fh elements, values = param dict for forecaster

  • list: i-th entry is forecaster param dict for i-th fh element

  • callable: maps fh element to forecaster param dict

  • str: eval(fh_params) must define a lambda that maps fh element to param dict

param dict need not be complete, only overrides for forecaster params

fh_lookupstr, one of “relative” (default), “absolute”, or “as-is”

specifies fh elements used in dict or callable

  • if “relative”, fh will be coerced to relative ForecastingHorizon

  • if “absolute”, fh will be coerced to absolute ForecastingHorizon

  • if “as-is”, fh will be coerced to ForecastingHorizon (but not relative/absolute)

fh_contiguousbool, default=False

whether fh in inner loops are enforced to be contiguous

  • False: forecaster with fh_params[fN] is asked to forecast fN and only fN

  • True: forecaster with fh_params[fN] is asked to forecast 1, 2, …, fN and the output is then subset to the forecast of fN this is required if the forecaster can only forecast contiguous horizons

CAUTION: if using grid search inside, then True will cause the tuning metric to be evaluated on horizons 1, 2, …, fN, not just fN

Attributes:
forecasters_dict of sktime forecaster

keys are fh elements (coerced according to fh_lookup) entries are clones of forecaster used for fitting and forecasting

Examples

>>> from sktime.datasets import load_airline
>>> from sktime.forecasting.naive import NaiveForecaster
>>> from sktime.forecasting.compose import FhPlexForecaster

Simple example - same parameters per fh element >>> y = load_airline() >>> f = FhPlexForecaster(NaiveForecaster()) >>> f.fit(y, fh=[1, 2, 3]) FhPlexForecaster(…) >>> # get individual fitted forecasters >>> f.forecasters_ # doctest: +SKIP {1: NaiveForecaster(), 2: NaiveForecaster(), 3: NaiveForecaster()} >>> fitted_params = f.get_fitted_params() # or via get_fitted_params >>> y_pred = f.predict()

Simple example - different parameters per fh element >>> y = load_airline() >>> fh_params = [{}, {“strategy”: “last”}, {“strategy”: “mean”}] >>> f = FhPlexForecaster(NaiveForecaster(), fh_params=fh_params) >>> f.fit(y, fh=[1, 2, 3]) FhPlexForecaster(…) >>> # get individual fitted forecasters >>> f.forecasters_ # doctest: +SKIP {1: NaiveForecaster(), 2: NaiveForecaster(), 3: NaiveForecaster(strategy=’mean’)} >>> y_pred = f.predict()

Methods

check_is_fitted([method_name])

Check if the estimator has been fitted.

clone()

Obtain a clone of the object with same hyper-parameters and config.

clone_tags(estimator[, tag_names])

Clone tags from another object as dynamic override.

create_test_instance([parameter_set])

Construct an instance of the class, using first test parameter set.

create_test_instances_and_names([parameter_set])

Create list of all test instances and a list of names for them.

fit(y[, X, fh])

Fit forecaster to training data.

fit_predict(y[, X, fh, X_pred])

Fit and forecast time series at future horizon.

get_class_tag(tag_name[, tag_value_default])

Get class tag value from class, with tag level inheritance from parents.

get_class_tags()

Get class tags from class, with tag level inheritance from parent classes.

get_config()

Get config flags for self.

get_fitted_params([deep])

Get fitted parameters.

get_param_defaults()

Get object's parameter defaults.

get_param_names([sort])

Get object's parameter names.

get_params([deep])

Get a dict of parameters values for this object.

get_pretrained_params([deep])

Get pretrained parameters of this estimator.

get_tag(tag_name[, tag_value_default, ...])

Get tag value from instance, with tag level inheritance and overrides.

get_tags()

Get tags from instance, with tag level inheritance and overrides.

get_test_params([parameter_set])

Return testing parameter settings for the estimator.

is_composite()

Check if the object is composed of other BaseObjects.

load_from_path(serial)

Load object from file location.

load_from_serial(serial)

Load object from serialized memory container.

predict([fh, X])

Forecast time series at future horizon.

predict_interval([fh, X, coverage])

Compute/return prediction interval forecasts.

predict_proba([fh, X, marginal])

Compute/return fully probabilistic forecasts.

predict_quantiles([fh, X, alpha])

Compute/return quantile forecasts.

predict_residuals([y, X])

Return residuals of time series forecasts.

predict_var([fh, X, cov])

Compute/return variance forecasts.

pretrain(y[, X, fh])

Pre-train forecaster on panel (global) data.

reset()

Reset the object to a clean post-init state.

save([path, serialization_format])

Save serialized self to bytes-like object or to (.zip) file.

score(y[, X, fh])

Scores forecast against ground truth, using MAPE (non-symmetric).

set_config(**config_dict)

Set config flags to given values.

set_params(**params)

Set the parameters of this object.

set_random_state([random_state, deep, ...])

Set random_state pseudo-random seed parameters for self.

set_tags(**tag_dict)

Set instance level tag overrides to given values.

update(y[, X, update_params])

Update cutoff value and, optionally, fitted parameters.

update_predict(y[, cv, X, update_params, ...])

Make predictions and update model iteratively over the test set.

update_predict_single([y, fh, X, update_params])

Update model with new data and make forecasts.