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UpdateEvery

UpdateEvery

class UpdateEvery(forecaster, update_interval=None)[source]

Update only periodically when update is called.

If update is called, behaves like update_params=False, unless update_interval time has elapsed since the last “true” update, i.e., call to forecaster.update with update_params=False.

update_interval controls the minimum time that needs to elapse.

Caution: default value of update_interval means no updates after fit.

Parameters:
update_intervaldifference of sktime time indices (int or timedelta), optional

interval that needs to elapse until inner update call with update_params=True default = None = infinity, i.e., never updates

  • if index of y seen in fit is integer or y is index-free container type, refit_interval must be int, and is interpreted as difference of int location

  • if index of y seen in fit is timestamp, must be int or pd.Timedelta

    • if pd.Timedelta, will be interpreted as time since last refit elapsed

    • if int, will be interpreted as number of time stamps seen since last refit

Attributes:
cutoff

Cut-off = “present time” state of forecaster.

fh

Forecasting horizon that was passed.

is_fitted

Whether fit has been called.

state

State of the estimator.

Examples

>>> from sktime.forecasting.trend import TrendForecaster
>>> from sktime.forecasting.stream import UpdateEvery
>>> from sktime.datasets import load_airline
>>> y = load_airline()
>>> y0 = y.iloc[:-20]
>>> y1 = y.iloc[-20:-10]
>>> y2 = y.iloc[-10:]
>>> inner_forecaster = TrendForecaster()
>>> forecaster = UpdateEvery(inner_forecaster, update_interval=12)
>>> forecaster.fit(y0, fh=[1,2,3])
UpdateEvery(...)
>>> # predict etc could be called here
>>> # e.g., forecaster.predict()
>>>
>>> # first update, 10 < update_interval = 12, so calls update with
>>> # update_params=False
>>> forecaster.update(y1)
UpdateEvery(...)
>>> # second update, 20 >= update_interval = 12, so calls update with
>>> # update_params=True
>>> forecaster.update(y2)
UpdateEvery(...)

Methods

check_is_fitted([method_name])

Check if the estimator has been fitted.

clone()

Obtain a clone of the object with same hyper-parameters and config.

clone_tags(estimator[, tag_names])

Clone tags from another object as dynamic override.

create_test_instance([parameter_set])

Construct an instance of the class, using first test parameter set.

create_test_instances_and_names([parameter_set])

Create list of all test instances and a list of names for them.

fit(y[, X, fh])

Fit forecaster to training data.

fit_predict(y[, X, fh, X_pred])

Fit and forecast time series at future horizon.

get_class_tag(tag_name[, tag_value_default])

Get class tag value from class, with tag level inheritance from parents.

get_class_tags()

Get class tags from class, with tag level inheritance from parent classes.

get_config()

Get config flags for self.

get_fitted_params([deep])

Get fitted parameters.

get_param_defaults()

Get object's parameter defaults.

get_param_names([sort])

Get object's parameter names.

get_params([deep])

Get a dict of parameters values for this object.

get_pretrained_params([deep])

Get pretrained parameters of this estimator.

get_tag(tag_name[, tag_value_default, ...])

Get tag value from instance, with tag level inheritance and overrides.

get_tags()

Get tags from instance, with tag level inheritance and overrides.

get_test_params()

Return testing parameter settings for the estimator.

is_composite()

Check if the object is composed of other BaseObjects.

load_from_path(serial)

Load object from file location.

load_from_serial(serial)

Load object from serialized memory container.

predict([fh, X])

Forecast time series at future horizon.

predict_interval([fh, X, coverage])

Compute/return prediction interval forecasts.

predict_proba([fh, X, marginal])

Compute/return fully probabilistic forecasts.

predict_quantiles([fh, X, alpha])

Compute/return quantile forecasts.

predict_residuals([y, X])

Return residuals of time series forecasts.

predict_var([fh, X, cov])

Compute/return variance forecasts.

pretrain(y[, X, fh])

Pre-train forecaster on panel (global) data.

reset()

Reset the object to a clean post-init state.

save([path, serialization_format])

Save serialized self to bytes-like object or to (.zip) file.

score(y[, X, fh])

Scores forecast against ground truth, using MAPE (non-symmetric).

set_config(**config_dict)

Set config flags to given values.

set_params(**params)

Set the parameters of this object.

set_random_state([random_state, deep, ...])

Set random_state pseudo-random seed parameters for self.

set_tags(**tag_dict)

Set instance level tag overrides to given values.

update(y[, X, update_params])

Update cutoff value and, optionally, fitted parameters.

update_predict(y[, cv, X, update_params, ...])

Make predictions and update model iteratively over the test set.

update_predict_single([y, fh, X, update_params])

Update model with new data and make forecasts.