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Forecaster

ESRNNForecaster

Exponential Smoothing Recurrant Neural Network.

Quickstart

python
from sktime.forecasting.es_rnn import ESRNNForecaster

estimator = ESRNNForecaster(hidden_size=10, num_layer=5, season1_length=12, season2_length=6, seasonality_type='single', window=10, pred_len=3, stride=1, batch_size=32, num_epochs=1000, criterion=None, optimizer='Adam', lr=0.1, optimizer_kwargs=None, criterion_kwargs=None, custom_dataset_train=None, custom_dataset_pred=None)

Parameters(15)

hidden_sizeint
Number of features in the hidden state
num_layerint
Number of layers
seasonality_typestring
Type of seasonality_type, could be zero,single or double
season1_lengthint
Period of season 1
season2_lengthint
Period of season 2
strideint
stride for sliding window
batch_sizeint
size of batch during training
num_epochsint
number of epochs during training
criteriontorch.nn Loss Function, default=torch.nn.MSELoss
loss function to be used for training
criterion_kwargsdict, default=None
keyword arguments to pass to criterion
optimizertorch.optim.Optimizer, default=torch.optim.Adam
optimizer to be used for training
optimizer_kwargsdict, default=None
keyword arguments to pass to optimizer
windowint
Size of Input window, default=10
pred_lenint
Prediction length, i.e., the number of future time steps to forecast. Defines the network output dimension, default=3
lrint
Learning rate for training

Examples

>>> from sktime.forecasting.es_rnn import ESRNNForecaster
>>> from sktime.datasets import load_airline
>>> from sktime.transformations.boxcox import LogTransformer
>>> y = load_airline ()
>>> scaler = LogTransformer ()
>>> forecaster = ESRNNForecaster (15, 6, 12, 6, 'double', 20, 1, 32, 100, 'MSE')
>>> y_new = scaler. fit_transform (y)
>>> forecaster. fit (y_new, fh = [1, 2, 3 ])
>>> y_pred = forecaster. predict ()
>>> y_pred = scaler. inverse_transform (y_pred)

References

  1. [1 ] Smyl, S. 2020. A hybrid method of exponential smoothing and recurrent neural networks for time series forecasting. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169207019301153